Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Which teams will qualify from Group B for quarter finals: WC 2011

South Africa has sailed through to the quarterfinals but there is a lot of uncertainity for the remaining 3 slots. Will India qualify for the quarter finals? Will Enland qualify for the quarter finals? Will West Indies qualify for the quarter finals or Will Bangladesh qualify for the quarter finals?
Below are some permutations and combinations required by the different teams in Group B to qualify for the next stage.

The qualification depends on these matches:



1. ENG (5) Vs WI (6)


2. SA (8) Vs BAN (6)


3. IND (7) Vs WI (6).


Right now the points (nrr) for teams: ENG -> 7 (0.013); WI-> 6 (2.206); SA-> 8 (1.606); BAN-> 6 (-0.765); IND-> 7 (0.768);


I hope every body knows that, if India wins in the last match they will be second in the group, provided, SA wins over BAN, otherwise, they will top the group. Let’s see what happens if they don’t win that last match.


Since we assume WI win, WI will have 8 points. The possible scenarios are:


1. If ENG win Vs WI and SA win Vs BAN,  B1: SA (10); B2: WI (8); B3: IND (7); B4: ENG (7). IND (7) will be ahead of ENG (7) since the nrr is better for India, for ENG to be ahead of IND, the margin of runs combined (margin of ENG win margin of IND loss) should be more than 192 runs, which is very difficult or impossible.


2. If ENG win Vs WI and BAN win Vs SA,  B1: WI (8); B2: SA (8); B3: BAN (8); B4: IND (7). Again, IND (7) will be ahead of ENG (7) since the nrr is better for India, for ENG to be ahead of IND, the margin of runs combined (margin of ENG win margin of IND loss) should be more than 192 runs, which is almost impossible.


3. If WI win Vs ENG and SA win Vs BAN,  B1: SA (10); B2: WI (10); B3: IND (7); B4: BAN (6). SA and WI position may interchange with nrr. ENG (5) is out.



4. If WI win Vs ENG and BAN win Vs SA,  B1: WI (10); B2: SA (8); B3: BAN (8); B4: IND (7). ENG (5) is out.




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